Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Week 7 Rankings

Your Top 25:


Rk
Δ
Team
Pts
1
+1
Mississippi State
69.5

The Math and the AP agree for the first time since Week 1, putting the Bulldogs at the top after their 38-23 upset over Auburn in Starkville.

2
-1
Auburn
63.6

Auburn doesn't fall far though. Despite their 15-point loss, almost of all of the statistics--4 vs. 4 turnovers, 232 vs. 223 rushing yards, 16 vs. 15 first downs, etc.--indicate a much closer game.

3
0
Ole Miss
60.2

The Rebels pulled off the upset against Texas A&M, winning 35-20 in College Station. Though A&M QB Kenny Hill passed for 401 yards, Hill's three turnovers, two of which were immediately converted to Ole Miss touchdowns, were what ultimately cost the Aggies the game.

4
0
Baylor
56.3

Baylor had their biggest test of the season thus far on Saturday and passed, though not with flying colors. The Bears overcame a 21-point, fourth-quarter deficit to beat TCU 61-58 in a defense-optional game.

5
+4
Georgia
55.4

Even without suspended RB and Heisman hopeful Todd Gurley, the Bulldogs shut out Mizzou 34-0. Georgia forced five Tiger turnovers, and Mizzou never managed to convert on third down.

6
-1
Alabama
55.1
7
+1
Marshall
53.0
8
-2
Oklahoma
50.2
9
+2
Notre Dame
47.5
10
+7
Michigan State
46.3
11
+4
Nebraska
45.6
12
0
Ohio State
44.8
13
-6
TCU
43.4
14
-4
Texas A&M
43.0
15
+8
Oregon
41.8
16
+4
Georgia Southern
40.9
17
+10
LSU
40.4
18
+8
Florida State
40.4
19
-6
Georgia Tech
39.2
20
-6
Arkansas
39.1
21
+1
Utah
38.9
22
+3
Kansas State
38.6
23
-4
Louisville
38.5
24
+11
Clemson
37.8
25
+15
Boston College
37.7


Teams falling out of the Top 25:

  • (#27) UCLA (lost vs. Oregon 42-30)
  • (#29) Florida (lost vs. LSU 30-27)
  • (#31) BYU (lost at UCF 31-24)
  • (#33) Arizona (lost vs. USC 28-26)

Teams worse than the average FCS team:

  • (#127) UNLV (beat Fresno State 30-27)
  • (#128) New Mexico State (lost at Troy 41-24)
  • (#129) SMU (bye)

Largest improvement in rank: +18 Washington bounced back from a home loss to Stanford by dominating Cal 31-7, while Arkansas State similarly drubbed Georgia State 52-10.

Largest drop in rank: -30 Northern Illinois lost 34-17 to a middling Central Michigan team, the Huskies' first home loss since September 2009.

Conference Rankings

Conference
Average
SEC
41.63
ACC
29.09
Pac-12
29.00
Big 12
28.94
B1G
28.65
Conference USA
17.86
Mountain West
16.68
American
15.06
Sun Belt
13.09
MAC
10.79

Games to watch next week:

(#5) Georgia at (#20) Arkansas (4 PM EDT, SEC) Arkansas may be 0-3 in conference and at the bottom of the SEC West, but don't discount the Razorbacks. Two of their losses were close (in OT to Texas A&M and by one missed extra point to Alabama), and it's not ridiculous to think that Arkansas could upset a Georgia team sitting atop the SEC East when the Bulldogs come to Fayetteville.
Line: Arkansas by 3

(#9) Notre Dame at (#18) Florida State (8 PM EDT, ABC) I'm going to come right out and say it: Both of these teams are overrated. The AP has these teams an average of ten places higher than where the Math does. Though both are undefeated, each team has only had one real test (Stanford for ND and Clemson for FSU) that they barely passed. Meanwhile, they've struggled in their other games and haven't been able to run the ball (ND is 69th in rushing yards per game; FSU, 98th). The brightest spot about this game may be that we can all stop talking about whoever loses.
Line: Notre Dame by 5

(#14) Texas A&M at (#6) Alabama (3:30 PM EDT, CBS) When all seven SEC West teams are in the Top 25, at least one SEC West matchup is going to be one of the games to watch each week. This week features the Aggies and the Tide fighting for survival while Mississippi State, Ole Miss, and Auburn enjoy a gimme against Kentucky, a relatively easy time hosting Tennessee, and a bye week, respectively. It's still relatively early in the season, but it's hard to see how the loser of this game has a chance to win the SEC West, particularly an Aggie squad trying to recover from a one-two punch delivered with emphasis from the Magnolia State.
Line: Alabama by 15

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